Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
May 2013
Water Supply Forecast as of May 1, 2013 - Red Deer River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for May 1 to September 30, 2013 | Year to date | |||||||
Locations | Volume in dam3 | Volume as a % of Average | Probable Range as a % of Average | Potential Minimum as % of Average | Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March-April 2013 Volume as a % of Average | Ranking (lowest to highest) | |
Red Deer River at Dickson Dam |
756,700* | 97 | 79-120 | 63 | 52/99 | 84** | 33/91 | |
Red Deer River at Red Deer |
948,200* | 90 | 69-112 | 50 | 50/99 | 74** | 39/99 |
*NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2013 forecast minus the recorded volume to date ** Recorded 2013 natural volumes are preliminary and subject to change Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period 1981 to 2010 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
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