Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
May 2014
Water Supply Forecast as of May 1, 2014 - Bow River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2014 | ||||||
Locations | Volume in dam3 | Volume as a % of Average | Probable Range as a % of Average |
Potential Minimum as % of Average |
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March-September 2013 Volume as a % of Average |
Bow River at Banff | 1,051,000 | 104 | 100-109 | 97 | 49/99 | N/A |
Lake Minnewanka Inflow | 189,000 | 107 | 97-122 | 88 | 53/99 | N/A |
Spray River near Banff | 390,000 | 108 | 101-116 | 94 | 61/99 | N/A |
Kananaskis River | 447,000 | 117 | 106-129 | 97 | 70/99 | N/A |
Bow River at Calgary | 2,514,000 | 109 | 104-114 | 100 | 61/99 | N/A |
Elbow River | 222,000 | 110 | 99-110 | 88 | 61/99 | N/A |
Highwood River | 613,000 | 110 | 94-127 | 79 | 57/99 | N/A |
Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1981 to 2009
NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca