Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

May 2014

Water Supply Forecast as of May 1, 2014 - Bow River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2014
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum
as % of Average
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-September 2013 Volume as a % of Average
Bow River at Banff 1,051,000 104 100-109 97 49/99 N/A
Lake Minnewanka Inflow 189,000 107 97-122 88 53/99 N/A
Spray River near Banff 390,000 108 101-116 94 61/99 N/A
Kananaskis River 447,000 117 106-129 97 70/99 N/A
Bow River at Calgary 2,514,000 109 104-114 100 61/99 N/A
Elbow River 222,000 110 99-110 88 61/99 N/A
Highwood River 613,000 110 94-127 79 57/99 N/A


Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1981 to 2009

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.


For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca