Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
May 2016
| Water Supply Forecast as of May 1, 2016 - Bow River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
| Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2016 | ||||||
| Locations | Volume in dam3 | Volume as a % of Average | Probable Range as a % of Average |
Potential Minimum as % of Average |
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March-September 2015 Volume as a % of Average |
| Bow River at Banff | 787,000 | 78 | 74-83 | 71 | 3/99 | 89 |
| Lake Minnewanka Inflow | 132,000 | 75 | 60-90 | 46 | 11/99 | 70 |
| Spray River near Banff | 341,000 | 95 | 90-100 | 85 | 35/99 | 68 |
| Kananaskis River | 352,000 | 92 | 85-99 | 79 | 28/99 | 80 |
| Bow River at Calgary | 1,918,000 | 83 | 78-88 | 74 | 15/99 | 81 |
| Elbow River | 158,000 | 78 | 72-84 | 67 | 24/99 | 83 |
| Highwood River | 358,000 | 65 | 58-71 | 52 | 17/99 | 73 |
|
Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1981 to 2009
NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca
