Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

May 2017

Water Supply Forecast as of May 1, 2017 - Bow River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2017
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum
as % of Average
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-September 2016 Volume as a % of Average
Bow River at Banff 1,224,000 121 117-126 114 81/99 88
Lake Minnewanka Inflow 208,000 117 107-132 98 69/99 74
Spray River near Banff 401,000 111 104-119 97 68/99 78
Kananaskis River 405,000 106 96-118 86 50/99 81
Bow River at Calgary 2,691,000 117 112-122 107 74/99 80
Elbow River 244,000 120 115-126 109 66/99 72
Highwood River 626,000 113 106-119 100 57/99 55


Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1981 to 2009

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.


For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca