Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

April 2008

Red Deer River Basin - Water Supply Forecasts

As of April 1, 2008, natural runoff volumes for the March to September 2008 period are forecast to be slightly below average into Dickson Dam and for the Red Deer River at Red Deer, at 86 and 81% of average, respectively (Table 5a). This represents a decrease of 1% of average since the March 1 forecasts. The current forecasted volume at Red Deer would rank 36th lowest in 91-years of record (1912-2001).

The first month of the forecast period has been completed, with March 2008 recorded runoff volumes ranging from 76 to 85% of average, which is below average for March. Recorded volume data is preliminary, due to ice effects, and is subject to change. March volumes typically comprise a small portion of the March to September total. The remaining volume forecast, which is the March to September 2008 forecast minus the recorded volume to date, is available in Table 5b.

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