Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
April 2012
Water Supply Forecast as of April 1, 2012 - North Saskatchewan River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for April 1 to September 30, 2012 | Year to date | |||||||
Locations | Volume in dam3 | Volume as a % of Average | Probable Range as a % of Average |
Potential Minimum as % of Average |
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March 2012 Volume as a % of Average | Ranking (lowest to highest) | |
Lake Abraham Inflow | 2,145,000* | 101 | 94-107 | 89 | 16/32** | 128**** | 25/30 | |
Brazeau Reservoir Inflow | 1,498,000* | 107 | 87-125 | 74 | 24/41*** | 44**** | 2/41 | |
North Saskatchewan River at Edmonton | 5,748,000* | 100 | 86-115 | 75 | 51/91 | 85**** | 41/91 |
*NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2012 forecast minus the recorded volume to date  
**** Recorded 2012 natural flows are preliminary and subject to change Average is calculated for the period 1912 to 2001 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
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