Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
April 2014
Water Supply Forecast as of April 1, 2014 - Red Deer River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for April 1 to September 30, 2014 | Year to date | |||||||
Locations | Volume in dam3 | Volume as a % of Average | Probable Range as a % of Average | Potential Minimum as % of Average | Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March 2014 Volume as a % of Average | Ranking (lowest to highest) | |
Red Deer River at Dickson Dam |
900,000* | 106 | 86-124 | 68 | 57/99 | 72** | 27/91 | |
Red Deer River at Red Deer |
1,298,000* | 109 | 88-129 | 70 | 63/99 | 42** | 24/99 |
*NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2014 forecast minus the recorded volume to date ** Recorded 2014 natural volumes are preliminary and subject to change Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period 1981 to 2010 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
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