Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
April 2016
Water Supply Forecast as of April 1, 2016 - Milk River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2016 | ||||||
Locations |
Volume in dam3 |
Volume as a % of Median | Probable Range as a % of Median | Potential Minimum as % of Median | Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) |
Recorded March-September 2015 Volume as a % of Median |
Milk River at Western Crossing |
28,000 | 70 | 55-97 | 42 | 23/98 | n/a |
Milk River at Milk River |
40,000 | 58 | 42-74 | 28 | 15/98 | n/a |
Milk River at Eastern Crossing |
55,200 | 55 | 39-71 | 25 | 18/98 | n/a |
n/a until values finalized by International Joint Commission
Median is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1981 to 2008 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given and a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
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