Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
April 2017
Water Supply Forecast as of April 1, 2017 - North Saskatchewan River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for April 1 to September 30, 2017 | Year to date | |||||||
Locations | Volume in dam3 | Volume as a % of Average | Probable Range as a % of Average |
Potential Minimum as % of Average |
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March 2017 Volume as a % of Average | Ranking (lowest to highest) | |
Lake Abraham Inflow | 2,311,000* | 109 | 104-105 | 99 | 30/100 | 111** | 68/100 | |
Brazeau Reservoir Inflow | 1,227,000* | 81 | 72-90 | 64 | 20/100 | 77** | 22/100 | |
North Saskatchewan River at Edmonton | 4,888,000* | 92 | 84-99 | 77 | 30/100 | 151** | 96/100 |
*NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2017 forecast minus the recorded volume to date   Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period 1981 to 2010 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
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