Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

August 2014

Water Supply Forecast as of August 1, 2014 - North Saskatchewan River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for August 1 to September 30, 2014 Year to date
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum
as % of
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-July 2014 Volume as a % of Average Ranking (lowest to highest)
Lake Abraham Inflow 859,900* 118 109-126 102 74/100 107** 61/100
Brazeau Reservoir Inflow 336,900* 81 57-101 39 20/100 94** 43/100
North Saskatchewan River at Edmonton 1,544,000* 98 89-107 81 42/100 119** 72/100

*NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2014 forecast minus the recorded volume to date

** Recorded 2014 natural flows are preliminary and subject to change

Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period 1981 to 2010

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.

For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca