Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

August 2015

Water Supply Forecast as of August 1, 2015 - Bow River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2015
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum
as % of Average
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-September 2014 Volume as a % of Average
Bow River at Banff 838,000 83 81-85 79 8/99 101
Lake Minnewanka Inflow 115,000 65 62-68 59 4/99 110
Spray River near Banff 245,000 68 65-71 62 12/99 88
Kananaskis River 327,000 85 83-88 81 16/99 116
Bow River at Calgary 1,805,000 78 77-80 75 8/99 144
Elbow River 161,000 80 78-82 76 27/99 144
Highwood River 383,000 69 63-75 58 17/99 156


Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1981 to 2009

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.


For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca