Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

February 2004

Bow River Basin - Water Supply Forecasts

As of February 1, 2004, below-average natural runoff volumes are forecast for the March to September 2004 period in the Bow River basin (Table 4). Basin snowpack is below-average to average and soil moisture conditions are below-average. Current runoff volume forecasts range from 77 to 84% of average. Current March to September 2004 volume forecasts are 7 to 12% higher than runoff volumes recorded during the same period last year, except for the Cascade Reservoir, which is forecast to receive 4% less volume than last year. Current forecasted volumes for the March to September 2004 period for the Bow River at Calgary would rank 33rd lowest in 91-years of record (1912-2001).

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