Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

February 2014

Water Supply Forecast as of February 1, 2014 - Bow River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2014
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum
as % of Average 		Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-September 2013 Volume as a % of Average
Bow River at Banff 943,000 93 88-100 83 26/99 N/A
Lake Minnewanka Inflow 166,000 94 82-108 72 35/99 N/A
Spray River near Banff 346,000 96 90-103 84 37/99 N/A
Kananaskis River 360,000 94 84-105 74 31/99 N/A
Bow River at Calgary 2,186,000 95 90-99 86 31/99 N/A
Elbow River 184,000 91 82-113 73 39/99 N/A
Highwood River 519,000 93 76-121 61 42/99 N/A


Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1981 to 2009

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.

For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca