Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
February 2018
Water Supply Forecast as of February 1, 2018 - Milk River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2018 | ||||||
Locations |
Volume in dam3 |
Volume as a % of Median | Probable Range as a % of Median | Potential Minimum as % of Median | Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) |
Recorded March-September 2017 Volume as a % of Median |
Milk River at Western Crossing |
60,300 | 150 | 127-174 | 106 | 54/98 | 158* |
Milk River at Milk River |
63,000 | 92 | 75-108 | 60 | 28/98 | 102* |
Milk River at Eastern Crossing |
87,700 | 88 | 65-110 | 45 | 33/98 | 69* |
* based on a combination of International Joint Commission and Alberta Environment and Parks naturalization methods
Median is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1980 to 2008 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given and a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
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