Red Deer River Basin - Water Supply Forecasts

As of July 1, 2006, natural runoff volumes for the March to September 2006 period are forecast to be below average into Dickson Dam and at Red Deer, at 77 and 72% of average, respectively (Table 6a). These forecasts have dropped by 3 to 5% of average since the June 1 forecasts. The current forecasted volume at Red Deer would rank 28th lowest in 91-years of record (1912-2001).

The first four months of the forecast period have been completed, with March-June 2006 recorded runoff volumes ranging from 72 to 78% of average, which is below average for this period. Recorded volume data is preliminary, and is subject to change. The remaining volume forecast, which is the March to September 2006 forecast minus the recorded volume to date, is available in Table 6b. Below average natural runoff volumes are expected for the July through September 2006 period. The current forecasted volume at Red Deer would rank 33rd lowest in 91-years of record (1912-2001).