Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

July 2010

Water Supply Forecast as of July 1, 2010 - Bow River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2010
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum
as % of Average
Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-September 2009 Volume as a % of Average
Bow River at Banff 820,000 77 71-81 67 6/91 72
Lake Minnewanka Inflow 156,000 84 76-88 74 26/91 84
Spray River near Banff 274,000 75 66-78 66 7/91 84
Kananaskis River 318,000 78 73-83 71 12/91 83
Bow River at Calgary 1,838,000 76 70-81 67 10/91 80
Elbow River 172,000 79 75-87 71 31/91 86
Highwood River 436,000 70 65-79 64 28/91 67


Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1912 to 2001

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.


For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca