Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

March 2014

Water Supply Forecast as of March 1, 2014 - Bow River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30, 2014
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum
as % of Average 		Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-September 2013 Volume as a % of Average
Bow River at Banff 936,000 93 88-98 84 25/99 N/A
Lake Minnewanka Inflow 163,000 92 80-106 69 34/99 N/A
Spray River near Banff 364,000 101 94-101 88 46/99 N/A
Kananaskis River 361,000 94 85-106 76 32/99 N/A
Bow River at Calgary 2,206,000 96 91-101 86 32/99 N/A
Elbow River 181,000 89 79-111 71 39/99 N/A
Highwood River 480,000 86 67-105 51 35/99 N/A


Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1981 to 2009

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the potential minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.

For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca