Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

May 2006

Red Deer River Basin - Water Supply Forecasts

As of May 1, 2006, natural runoff volumes for the March to September 2006 period are forecast to be below average into Dickson Dam and for Red Deer, at 80 and 77% of average, respectively (Table 6a). These forecasts have not changed significantly since the April 1 forecasts. The current forecasted volume at Red Deer would rank 31st lowest in 91-years of record (1912-2001).

The first two months of the forecast period have been completed, with March-April 2006 recorded runoff volumes ranging from 85 to 90% of average, which is below average to average for this period. Recorded volume data is preliminary, and is subject to change. The remaining volume forecast, which is the March to September 2006 forecast minus the recorded volume to date, is available in Table 6b.

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