Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

May 2014

Water Supply Forecast as of May 1, 2014 - Red Deer River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for May 1 to September 30, 2014 Year to date
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum as % of Average Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-April 2014 Volume as a % of Average Ranking (lowest to highest)
Red Deer River
at Dickson Dam
912,000* 117 99-140 83 70/99 142** 89/91
Red Deer River
at Red Deer
1,160,000* 110 89-132 70 65/99 171** 84/99

*NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2014 forecast minus the recorded volume to date

** Recorded 2014 natural volumes are preliminary and subject to change

Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period 1981 to 2009

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.

For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca