Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

May 2016

Water Supply Forecast as of May 1, 2016 - Red Deer River Basin (Natural Flows)

Volume Forecast for May 1 to September 30, 2016 Year to date
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Potential Minimum as % of Average Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-April 2016 Volume as a % of Average Ranking (lowest to highest)
Red Deer River
at Dickson Dam
546,000* 70 59-81 50 17/99 71** 17/99
Red Deer River
at Red Deer
661,000* 63 42-84 22 19/99 43** 10/99

*NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2016 forecast minus the recorded volume to date

** Recorded 2016 natural volumes are preliminary and subject to change

Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period 1981 to 2010

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.

For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca