Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
May 2017
| Water Supply Forecast as of May 1, 2017 - Red Deer River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
| Volume Forecast for May 1 to September 30, 2017 | Year to date | |||||||
| Locations | Volume in dam3 | Volume as a % of Average | Probable Range as a % of Average | Potential Minimum as % of Average | Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March-April 2017 Volume as a % of Average | Ranking (lowest to highest) | |
|
Red Deer River at Dickson Dam |
938,000* | 120 | 110-131 | 100 | 70/99 | 141** | 89/99 | |
|
Red Deer River at Red Deer |
1,195,000* | 114 | 92-135 | 73 | 68/99 | 199** | 96/99 | |
|
*NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2017 forecast minus the recorded volume to date ** Recorded 2017 natural volumes are preliminary and subject to change Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period 1981 to 2010 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca
