Water Supply Outlook for Alberta
July 2004
Table 5b - Water Supply Forecast as of July 1, 2004 - Red Deer River Basin
(Natural Flows) |
Volume Forecast for July 1 to September 30, 2004 | Year to date | |||||||
Locations | Volume in dam3 | Volume as a % of Average | Probable Range as a % of Average | Reasonable Minimum as % of Average | Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) | Recorded March-June 2004 Volume as a % of Average | Ranking (lowest to highest) | |
Red Deer River at Dickson Dam |
381,000* | 84 | 72-110 | 54 | 42/91 | 70** | 15/91 | |
Red Deer River at Red Deer |
474,000* | 84 | 64-113 | 48 | 49/91 | 54** | 11/91 |
*NOTE: The forecast shown is the March to September 2004 forecast minus the recorded volume to date Click on the site Location to see the Water Supply Forecast graphically ** Recorded 2004 natural volumes are preliminary and subject to change Average is calculated for the period 1912 to 2001 NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage. |
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