Water Supply Outlook for Alberta

March 2002

Table 5 - Water Supply Forecast as of March 1, 2002 - Red Deer River Basin (Natural Flows)


Volume Forecast for March 1 to September 30
Locations Volume in dam3 Volume as a % of Average Probable Range as a % of Average Reasonable Minimum as % of Average Forecast Ranking (lowest to highest) Recorded March-September 2001 Volume as a % of Average
Red Deer River
at Dickson Dam
776,000 82 62-111 48 30/84 62
Red Deer River
at Red Deer
922,000 70 52-100 40 26/84 52

Note: Click on the site Location to see the Water Supply Forecast graphically

Average is calculated for the March 1 to September 30 period from 1912 to 1995

NOTE: There is: a 50% chance that the actual natural flow will fall within the probable range given; a 25% chance that the actual flow will be less than the lower bound of the probable range given; and a 10% chance that the actual natural flow will be less than the reasonable minimum. Actual day to day streamflow conditions may vary throughout the season as a result of the effects of streamflow diversion and reservoir storage.


For technical enquires about this web page please contact Alberta Environment - Environmental Management Water Management Operations Branch at AENV-WebWS@gov.ab.ca